A surge in portfolio inflows is flooding into emerging central Europe, although yield-hungry investors are picking solid policy and higher growth over countries still struggling to put the crisis behind them.
After deep contractions across the region, a two-speed recovery is underway, with countries boasting better debt fundamentals like Poland and the Czech Republic for the moment ahead of those who depend on foreign lending.
Investors are also dipping into countries like Hungary, but struggles by the new center-right Fidesz government to get its budget deficit under control mean it is lagging for now, along with fellow International Monetary Fund benefactor Romania.
"There has... been clear differentiation between the more robust and the weaker economies of the region," Goldman Sachs wrote in a research note on the region.
"We believe that the region's stronger economies -- namely, Poland, Turkey, Israel and the Czech Republic -- will be the first to see an acceleration in financial inflows both in debt and, increasingly, equity." Turkey and Israel are often grouped with emerging European markets.
Extremely easy monetary policy in the world's developing economies, including expectations the Fed will push ahead with more asset-buying, plus continued worries over debt in troubled euro zone countries like Greece and Ireland have helped push investors into these higher-yielding countries.
News source: Reuters link: article
No comments:
Post a Comment